Samsung is about to have a very good year
It’s not just that the products coming today are strong, though it certainly helps. By all accounts – and there have been maaaaany – the S20 will inject new energy into the long-running flagship family. Meanwhile, the Galaxy Z Flip will help Samsung’s foldable lead by targeting the mass market and solving some of the key issues of first-gen foldable devices.
More importantly, Samsung’s rivals aren’t exactly thriving.
Take Huawei. Before the US government took it out of the game, Huawei had seemed unstoppable. Years of steady growth and a string of successful products allowed the Chinese company to leapfrog Apple and get within striking distance of Samsung. Then the news of the US ban landed, and Huawei went from “unstoppable” to “lucky to be alive” virtually overnight.
The interdiction to install Google apps has hobbled Huawei phones, leaving the lane clear for Samsung devices at all price points. For its part, Huawei is doing the best of the situation, trying to convince developers that its HMS suite can successfully replace Google’s platform. So far, with little success.
Huawei’s calamity is Samsung’s good fortune.
Huawei’s calamity is Samsung’s good fortune. With the main competitor out of the picture, Galaxy S20 phones will be almost unchallenged in key markets in Europe and elsewhere.
Other than Huawei, the only other company that competes with Samsung at a flagship level is Apple. No other phone maker has the scale and resources to threaten the Korean giant, though plenty offer phones that compete with Galaxy devices, at least on paper.
Apple had a good release last year, but it’s likely heading towards an “S” generation this September. In other words, the next iPhone will only bring incremental changes compared to the iPhone 11. At the very least, the Cupertino company won’t enjoy a “super cycle” fed by pent-up demand this year. While historically that hasn’t stopped Apple from selling astronomical numbers, it does bode well for Samsung.
Smaller Chinese players like Xiaomi, Oppo, and Vivo will surely try to steal market share from Samsung, and they may succeed in some markets and segments. But Samsung has gotten much stronger in the mid-range last year, thanks to its Galaxy A and Galaxy M phones. Chinese upstarts will have their work cut out.
OnePlus can punch above its weight, but its too small to even register compared to Samsung.
LG, Sony, Motorola, Asus – it’s not even worth considering them for the purpose of this article.
The strength of Samsung’s portfolio combined with the competitors’ relative weakness paints a bright picture for the Korean company. Of course, we can’t rule out a black swan event like another recall, a geopolitical accident in the vein of the Huawei ban, or even unpredictable consequences of the coronavirus epidemic.
How will Samsung’s renewed dominance affect consumers?
Samsung may be tempted to pad its profit margins.
The competition is easing off, so Samsung may be tempted to pad its profit margins. Leaks suggest the Galaxy S20 line will be the most expensive yet. The Galaxy S20 Ultra in particular could really shatter some price barriers. Whether you call it greed or maximization of shareholder value, Samsung has no reason to leave money on the table.
With Huawei losing steam, and no other viable competitor from the Android ranks, Samsung will increasingly play in a league of its own. For many customers, Samsung is Android and for some it’s even synonymous with smartphones. This perception will only solidify in 2020. And, thanks to this rock-solid reputation and steady sales, Samsung can afford to bet big on foldables, potentially setting itself up for the Next Big Thing.
The smartphone market is large enough to accommodate dozens of players. It’s not like this window of opportunity will enable Samsung to “win” the game. But it will help increase its lead, potentially for years to come.
Sometimes fortune favors the bold. Sometimes it just favors whoever happens to be at the right place, at the right moment. To its credit, Samsung has worked hard to put itself at the right place. In 2020, it can reap, once again, the benefits.