7 betting trends to trust in Week 13

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Urban Meyer failing to cover the spread the week before playing Michigan? Check.

Mississippi State holding its opponent to the team total under? You bet.

Those were just a few angles we dug into last week. Again, trends tell us more about what's already happened than what will come next, but they can still line up with an edge you're already seeing.

With that in mind, here are some promising angles to consider with Week 13 on deck:

East Carolina is 0-11 ATS vs. teams above .500 under head coach Scottie Montgomery

Situation: East Carolina +19.5 at Cincinnati

East Carolina has been a pure fade against good teams, especially away from home, where the Pirates are 2-9 against the spread as a double-digit road underdog in the last 11 games.

Why it will hit again: These are two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to talent in the AAC. The one thing working against Cincinnati is the dreaded letdown spot after losing to Central Florida last weekend. If the Bearcats avoid a mental lapse, they roll.

Central Michigan is on a 10-0 run to the 1st-half under

Situation: Central Michigan +18.5 at Toledo; O/U 53

An inefficient offense and relatively stingy defense have Central Michigan as one of the better under plays on a weekly basis. While the Chippewas have gone under the total in eight of their 11 games, the first half has been the sweet spot.

Why it will hit again: Only UTSA has been worse offensively this season than Central Michigan, which is No. 129 in the country with a 10.4 S&P+ offense rating.

Eastern Michigan is 16-2 ATS in its last 18 road games under head coach Chris Creighton

Situation: Eastern Michigan -13.5 at Kent State

Death, taxes, and Eastern Michigan appearing on the weekly trends list. The Eagles have been a mainstay in our betting nuggets this season and find themselves in yet another profitable spot in Week 13.

Why it will hit again: Kent State can neither score nor defend, as it's been outscored by roughly two touchdowns per game this season. Eastern Michigan also has the benefit of extra rest, coming off its bye week.

Oklahoma is 10-1 to the over in 2018

Situation: Oklahoma -1.5 at West Virginia; O/U 82

Oklahoma continues to put up video game numbers, as the Sooners lead the nation with 49.5 points per game. A spotty defense has helped the team sail over the total in all but one game this season.

Why it will hit again: Oklahoma games have hit 90 or more points on five occasions this season and Saturday's contest against West Virginia features two teams in the top 10 of S&P+ offense.

Western Kentucky is 6-0 to the 1st-half under when playing on the road this season

Situation: Western Kentucky +11 at Louisiana Tech; O/U 48.5

Remember the Western Kentucky offenses from a few years ago that couldn't be stopped? The Hilltoppers now boast one of the worst units in the country, ranking No. 122 with 20.3 points per game and have scored more than 17 points just once in six tries on the road.

Why it will hit again: Louisiana Tech has also been a trendy team to the under, hitting seven in the last eight games.

Purdue is 9-1 to the under in its previous 10 road games under head coach Jeff Brohm

Situation: Purdue -4.5 at Indiana; O/U 62.5

Since Brohm took over in 2017, Purdue is 8-5 to the over with an average outcome of 56.5 points per game at home; away from Ross-Ade Stadium, the Boilermakers are 9-1 to the under with an average outcome of just 43.1 points.

Why it will hit again: Both Indiana and Purdue are fighting for bowl eligibility and there are potential showers in the forecast in Bloomington.

Pitt is 10-1 to the under in its previous 11 road games under head coach Pat Narduzzi

Situation: Pitt +5.5 at Miami; O/U 49.5

Four of Pittsburgh's five road games this season have sailed under the total, and the previous three resulted in combined scores of 33, 36, and 37. The Panthers get a tough offensive test in the regular-season finale against the Miami Hurricanes.

Why it will hit again: Miami will be the third-best defense the Panthers have faced this year, behind Penn State and Notre Dame. Pitt scored just six and 14 points against the Nittany Lions and Fighting Irish, respectively. The Hurricanes also head into Week 13 scuffling offensively, averaging just 19.6 points per game over the last five.

Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 11 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.

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